H-D shares fall in advance of Q1 sales report

One would think that this would be due to the silly, in my opinion, strike from this past February.  The article suggests otherwise, but I am not so sure.  While I have read that there is a slow down in the overall industry sales, HD has a special kind of sales slow down.  It was greatly assisted by the lack of building the damn bikes in the first place.

Although Harley-Davidson’s 2007 first-quarter sales report won’t be released until April 19, the company’s stock took a tumble in Monday trading on fears of a disappointing report.

Shares of Harley-Davidson closed Monday down 45 cents, or 0.7 percent, to $60.75 after UBS analyst Robin Farley said there are indications of weak sales for the company in January and February. Monday’s fall extends a slide of nearly 14 percent for Harley since the end of February.

Farley wrote that according to industry contacts Harley sales may be down 20 percent in January and 12 percent in February.

Farley said Monday the sales dip wasn’t a result of the plant worker strike last month, as dealers had adequate inventory. Instead, the figures are more worrisome because they could be evidence of an industry-wide slowdown, he said.

If dealers HD adequate inventory, then as a free market guy, the union folks did the company a favor and the management team probably thanks you for the forced inventory reduction.

3 Comments

[…] Original post by angrybob […]

Comment by H-D shares fall in advance of Q1 sales report | March 29th, 2007 9:47 pm | Permalink

I believe the sales slowdown had started prior to the strike. I went into the local dealer at Christmas time for gifts, and a few weeks ago for an oil filter for the V-Rod. Both times the place was jam packed full of bikes. More than I have seen there since they built the new place in 2003!

Comment by mcstanger | March 30th, 2007 2:17 am | Permalink

Actually, I have heard that to be true. Somewhere I read that Harley Davidson ownership was somewhat pleased about the strike because it allowed them to decrease production without admitting to any sales slowdown.

Certainly as a free market guy, you would understand that the stock market should have already taken into account the effects of the strike in the stock price. And it even sounds like inventory prevented the strike from causing supply problems. Therefore this lowered price is most likely the result of further concerns about growth. I guess we’ll find out soon whether those concerns are justified, at least in the short term.

Comment by Kipio | March 30th, 2007 8:42 am | Permalink

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